Foundation for the Study of CyclesTechsignal Firebird Elite - Sample Generated Trades

Gold

Cycle

Phase

RSI

OSC

OSC

Stop

Percent Stop

 

 

13.15

10.5

14

25

5

Percent 

2.5

 

 

Entry Date

   Price 

Exit Date

   Price

Profit

Drawdown

Length

Cumulative

Buy

4/16/2003

324.6

2/13/2004

412.8

88.2

0

192

88.20

Sell

2/13/2004

412.8

5/17/2004

380.5

32.3

14.5

59

120.50

Buy

5/17/2004

380.5

12/22/2004

443.3

62.8

0

139

183.30

Sell

12/22/2004

443.3

5/19/2005

421.5

21.8

2

94

205.10

Buy

5/19/2005

421.5

5/23/2006

659.5

238

0

234

443.10

Sell

5/23/2006

659.5

10/6/2006

574.2

85.3

14

86

528.40

Buy

10/6/2006

574.2

3/5/2008

966

391.8

0

328

920.20

Sell

3/5/2008

966

Open

897

69

0

 

989.20

On an investment of $4300 (Margin for one contract) 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The profit for the Enterprise was $421,200 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

and the profit on the Elite is $989,200.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Crude

Cycle

Phase

RSI

OSC

OSC

Stop

Percent Stop

 

 

13.2

11.51

14

25

5

Percent 

2.5

 

 

Entry Date

   Price 

Exit Date

   Price

Profit

Drawdown

Length

Cumulative

Sell

3/11/2003

36.3

5/6/2003

26

10.3

0.00

24

26

Buy

5/6/2003

26

8/5/2003

31.92

5.92

2.00

61

31.92

Sell

8/5/2003

31.92

9/22/2003

27.2

4.72

1.07

32

36.64

Buy

9/22/2003

27.2

11/1/2004

52

24.8

0.00

272

61.44

Sell

11/1/2004

52

1/4/2005

42.6

9.4

0.00

43

70.84

Buy

1/4/2005

42.6

4/6/2005

56.5

13.9

2.40

61

84.74

Sell

4/6/2005

56.5

5/18/2005

49.13

7.37

0.00

28

92.11

Buy

5/18/2005

49.13

9/20/2005

66.45

17.32

0.00

84

109.43

Sell

9/20/2005

66.45

12/21/2005

58.35

8.1

1.00

61

117.53

Buy

12/21/2005

58.35

7/4/2006

73.6

15.25

0.00

131

132.78

Sell

7/4/2006

73.6

1/12/2007

53.2

20.4

2.50

129

153.18

Buy

1/12/2007

53.2

Open

127.35

74.15

2.00

 

227.33

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Crude oil margins are $10,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

On a $10,000 investment the profit would be $45,466

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

S&P_Future

Cycle

Phase

RSI

OSC

OSC

Stop

Percent Stop

 

 

14.66

9.75

14

25

5

Percent 

2.5

 

 

Entry Date

   Price 

Exit Date

   Price

Profit

Drawdown

Length

Cumulative

Sell

4/6/2004

1144.3

5/17/2004

1083.3

61

0.5

25

61

Buy

5/17/2004

1083.3

6/24/2004

1140.7

57.4

0

25

118.4

Sell

6/24/2004

1140.7

8/16/2004

1081.5

59.2

12

35

177.6

Buy

8/16/2004

1081.5

2/28/2005

1209.9

128.4

 

131

306

Sell

2/28/2005

1209.9

4/20/2005

1155.7

54.2

2.2

34

360.2

Buy

4/20/2005

1155.7

7/21/2005

1238.3

82.6

0

46

442.8

Sell

7/21/2005

1238.3

10/21/2005

1185.2

53.1

4

60

495.9

Buy

10/21/2005

1185.2

4/25/2006

1315.7

130.5

0

40

626.4

Sell

4/25/2006

1315.7

6/14/2006

1234.5

81.2

2

32

707.6

Buy

6/14/2006

1234.5

12/6/2006

1428

193.5

0

117

901.1

Sell

12/6/2006

1428

3/8/2007

1415.3

12.7

25.8

61

913.8

Buy

3/8/2007

1415.3

6/19/2007

1543.3

128

0

69

1041.8

Sell

6/19/2007

1543.3

8/29/2007

1443.5

99.8

0

47

1141.6

Buy

8/29/2007

1443.5

10/9/2007

1568.7

125.2

4.45

27

1266.8

Sell

10/9/2007

1568.7

11/20/2007

1437.3

131.4

0

28

1398.2

Buy

11/20/2007

1437.3

12/31/2007

1482

44.7

3

27

1442.9

Sell

12/31/2007

1428

1/21/2008

1346.5

81.5

1.75

14

1524.4

Buy

1/21/2008

1346.5

3/6/2008

1309.9

-36.6

0

30

1487.8

Sell

3/6/2008

1309.9

3/17/2008

1279.5

30.4

0

7

1518.2

Buy

3/17/2008

1279.5

Open

1402

122.5

6.55

 

1640.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

S&P 500 futures contract is $500 per point 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Enterprise produced $345,000 and 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Firebird Elite $820,000 for one contract 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bonds

Cycle

Phase

RSI

OSC

OSC

Stop

Percent Stop

 

 

 

13.46

9.35

14

25

5

Percent 

2.5

 

 

 

Entry Date

   Price 

Exit Date

   Price

Profit

Drawdown

Length

Cumulative

 

Sell

6/11/2003

121.5

5/12/2004

104.72

16.78

0

231

16.78

 

Buy

5/12/2004

104.72

8/22/2005

116.31

11.59

0

321

28.37

 

Sell

8/22/2005

116.31

4/13/2006

107.0938

9.2162

2

94

37.5862

 

Buy

4/13/2006

107.0938

11/10/2006

112.5625

5.4687

2.6

144

43.0549

 

Sell

11/10/2006

112.5625

6/25/2007

106.4688

6.0937

1.75

155

49.1486

 

Buy

6/25/2007

106.4688

1/9/2008

118.8125

12.3437

0

136

61.4923

 

Sell

1/9/2008

118.8125

Open

114.25

4.5625

2.9

92

66.0548

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The differences are no losses in the Elite and fewer trades

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Profit is nearly 50% higher with low draw down

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

During the period of the study the range of bonds was about 20 points

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Our goal for Enterprise was 1.5 to 2 times the range which we delivered

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Our Goal for Elite is three times which we exceeded by a bit at 3.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All Contents Copyright Foundation for the Study of Cycles, Inc. 1941-2008 - All Rights Reserved.